War Headlines Pushing Oil and Yields Higher
Some summertime Mondays are slow and uneventful. Some see brisk movement. Today's was somewhere in between. There was modest pressure at the outset following headlines about Iran planning to escalate hostilities. The sharpest increase in oil prices coincided with Iran seizing a UAE tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. 10yr yields followed and hit the highs of the day shortly thereafter. Bottom line: fairly straightforward day, even if moderately unpleasant for fans of low rates.
Econ Data / Events
NY Fed Manufacturing
20.6 vs 11 f'cast, 15.6 prev
Market Movement Recap
09:21 AM MBS down and eighth and 10yr up 1.4bps at 4.707
11:02 AM MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 1bp at 4.702
01:15 PM MBS down 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr up 1.9bps at 4.712
Incidental Weakness. Bigger Considerations on The Horizon
Incidental Weakness. Bigger Considerations on The Horizon
Without any data or compelling market movers, bonds came into the day light on inspiration. Low volume/liquidity left the door open for any determined t…