Bonds yields stayed lower than oil prices suggested yesterday afternoon. The same is true this morning, but oil prices have risen enough to lead bonds into weaker territory. Said differently, Iran war de-escalation sentiment is increasingly drying up, thus causing higher oil prices, higher bond yields, and lower stock prices. Additionally, the closer we get to the weekend without good news on negotiations, the more escalation risk will be priced-in by the market due to the Saturday deadline on Trump's ultimatum to reopen shipping channels lest they be taken by force.
Roughly Unchanged After Moderate Headline-Driven Volatility
Roughly Unchanged After Moderate Headline-Driven Volatility
As has been the recent custom, there were dueling headlines concerning the Iran war today with opposing claims regarding the status of the Israel/Leba…