Modest Recovery From Morning Weakness
Bonds were slightly weaker this morning in a move that looked like it might have been significant when compared to yesterday's narrow range. But in a just-barely-wider context, today's volatility was just as inconsequential as almost any of the days in December so far. With that, we'll continue to count down to next week's bigger-ticket data and more robust trader participation.
Econ Data / Events
Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (Oct)
1.3% vs 1.1% f'cast, 1.4% prev
CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (Oct)
-0.3% vs -- f'cast, -0.5% prev
FHFA Home Price Index m/m (Oct)
0.4% vs 0.1% f'cast, 0% prev
FHFA Home Prices y/y (Oct)
1.7% vs -- f'cast, 1.7% prev
Chicago PMI (Dec)
43.5 vs 39.5 f'cast, 36.3 prev
Market Movement Recap
10:10 AM Moderately weaker overnight and sideways so far. MBS down an eighth and 10yr up 2.7bps at 4.135
12:02 PM bouncing back a bit. MBS down only 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 1.2bps at 4.119
03:14 PM Still mostly sideways. MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up 2.1bps at 4.128.
Calm and Slightly Stronger, But Volatility Will be Back
Calm and Slightly Stronger, But Volatility Will be Back
Once or twice per week, the bond market manages to post a fairly calm trading day against the prevailing backdrop of generally higher volatility. Today wa…