Ending Near Unchanged Levels After Early Head Fake
Trading volumes confirm that bonds are 100% back in action, but after this morning's selling pressure proved to be a head fake, that volume hasn't translated to any meaningful momentum. This isn't too hard to accept considering the absence of big-ticket econ data. Things change on Wednesday with the release of ADP, JOLTS, and ISM. This is our first chance to see some actual data-driven volatility in several weeks.
Econ Data / Events
S&P Global Composite PMI (Dec)
52.7 vs 53.0 f'cast, 54.2 prev
S&P Global Services PMI (Dec)
52.5 vs 52.9 f'cast, 54.1 prev
Market Movement Recap
09:43 AM Modestly weaker overnight and sideways so far. MBS down 2 ticks and 10yr up 1.2bps at 4.176
10:37 AM Weakest levels of the day on defense spending comments. MBS down an eighth and 10yr up 2.4bps at 4.187
01:27 PM Bouncing back now. MBS unchanged and 10yr up 1.6bps at 4.179
03:25 PM Holding sideways near unchanged levels in MBS, currently down 1 tick (.03). 10yr yields up 1.1bps at 4.174
Hedging, PPE, Commercial, ATM Products; Trump vs. Institutional SFH Buyers; Prepayment Numbers
“Warning: don’t use your pet’s name for your password. We were hacked, and had to change our dog’s name.” “Experts” are saying that passwords will be on the way out in 2026 as passkeys take over. Good, as I am tired of carrying around a notebook with m…