Bonds Recovering a Bit After "Framework of a Deal" on Greenland
Geopolitics have been front and center for financial markets over the past 2 days with both stocks and bonds taking clear cues from newswires pertaining to tariff brinksmanship, trade deal negotiations, foreign wealth fund participation, and ultimately, the late-day announcement of a "framework of a deal" regarding Greenland. Details are in short supply, but the most important development being a pause on the plan to implement new tariffs on February 1st. Markets are cautiously trading this as a win for now with stocks and bonds at the best levels of the week, but definitely not back in line with last week's levels.
Econ Data / Events
MBA Purchase Index (Jan)/16
194.1 vs 184.6 prev
MBA Refi Index (Jan)/16
1580.8 vs 1313.1 prev
Pending Home Sales
71.8 vs 79.2 prev
Market Movement Recap
09:54 AM choppy, sideways overnight session and little-changed so far. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 1bp at 4.286
01:25 PM reasonably well received 20yr bond auction. 10yr down 3 bps at 4.266 and MBS up an eighth.
02:57 PM Best levels of the day after Greenland-related tariff pause and word of a "deal framework." MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 4.6bps at 4.25
Some Volatility Surrounding Headlines, But Not Much Change
Some Volatility Surrounding Headlines, But Not Much Change
Bonds began the day roughly flat before losing ground modestly into the 9am hour as markets mis-read headlines regarding new peace proposals submi…